{"id":9910,"date":"2023-12-12T11:58:13","date_gmt":"2023-12-12T10:58:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hydrogencouncil.com\/?p=9910"},"modified":"2024-02-27T13:34:25","modified_gmt":"2024-02-27T12:34:25","slug":"hydrogen-insights-2023-december-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hydrogencouncil.com\/es\/hydrogen-insights-2023-december-update\/","title":{"rendered":"Actualizaci\u00f3n de diciembre de 2023 de Hydrogen Insights"},"content":{"rendered":"
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<\/p>\n

12 de diciembre de 2023<\/strong><\/p>\n

Actualizaci\u00f3n de diciembre de 2023 de Hydrogen Insights <\/em>es la \u00faltima actualizaci\u00f3n sobre la econom\u00eda global del hidr\u00f3geno del Hydrogen Council y McKinsey & Company. Resume el estado actual del sector mundial del hidr\u00f3geno y el despliegue real del hidr\u00f3geno, con una inmersi\u00f3n profunda en la evoluci\u00f3n de los costos del hidr\u00f3geno renovable.<\/p>\n

Representa un esfuerzo de colaboraci\u00f3n para compartir una perspectiva objetiva, hol\u00edstica y cuantitativa sobre el estado del ecosistema mundial del hidr\u00f3geno.<\/p>\n

Resumen ejecutivo<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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  1. El hidr\u00f3geno desempe\u00f1ar\u00e1 un papel crucial en la descarbonizaci\u00f3n de sectores dif\u00edciles de reducir, permitir\u00e1 el transporte de energ\u00eda a escala a regiones con recursos limitados y permitir\u00e1 un sistema energ\u00e9tico limpio y resiliente. Su implementaci\u00f3n se encuentra en un punto de inflexi\u00f3n: por un lado, hay vientos de cola, como una creciente y gradual cartera de proyectos y una regulaci\u00f3n de apoyo a la descarbonizaci\u00f3n. Por otro lado, existen obst\u00e1culos: aumentos de costos, retrasos en los proyectos, incertidumbre regulatoria continua y mayores costos de financiamiento.

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  2. La cartera de proyectos est\u00e1 creciendo, con m\u00e1s de 1.400 proyectos anunciados en todas las regiones (en comparaci\u00f3n con aproximadamente 1.040 en la publicaci\u00f3n anterior), lo que equivale a 570 mil millones de d\u00f3lares de inversiones (anteriormente 435 mil millones de d\u00f3lares) y 45 millones de toneladas por a\u00f1o (Mt pa) de suministro de hidr\u00f3geno limpio. anunciado hasta 2030 (anteriormente 38 Mt pa). Europa muestra el mayor n\u00famero de proyectos (540), seguida de Am\u00e9rica del Norte (248). Una cuarta parte de los proyectos con fecha de puesta en marcha conocida han avanzado m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la decisi\u00f3n final de inversi\u00f3n (FID), lo que representa 7% del total de inversiones anunciadas. Las inversiones est\u00e1n madurando, con USD 110 mil millones en ingenier\u00eda y dise\u00f1o inicial (FEED) y m\u00e1s (frente a USD 75 mil millones), con un crecimiento de 60% en inversiones en FEED. El despliegue de la electr\u00f3lisis a nivel mundial ha mostrado un crecimiento similar, superando la marca de 1 gigavatio (GW) (frente a los 0,7 GW anteriores), y alrededor de 12 GW de capacidad han superado la FID.

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  3. El panorama regulatorio en general est\u00e1 evolucionando. Por ejemplo, el apoyo se est\u00e1 materializando a trav\u00e9s de cr\u00e9ditos fiscales a la producci\u00f3n (PTC) y apoyo financiero para centros de hidr\u00f3geno en Estados Unidos, mandatos de hidr\u00f3geno renovable en la Directiva de Energ\u00edas Renovables (RED III) en Europa o contratos por diferencia (CfD) en Jap\u00f3n. Sin embargo, persisten incertidumbres regulatorias, como la definici\u00f3n de los requisitos para recibir el PTC de la Ley de Reducci\u00f3n de la Inflaci\u00f3n (IRA) de EE. UU. y la implementaci\u00f3n de RED III en los estados miembros de la UE, lo que implica que estas pol\u00edticas a\u00fan no han impactado completamente al mercado.

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  4. La industria del hidr\u00f3geno limpio enfrenta vientos en contra. Los costos y las expectativas de costos han aumentado sustancialmente, particularmente para el hidr\u00f3geno renovable. El costo nivelado estimado de producir hidr\u00f3geno renovable (LCOH) es de aproximadamente 4,5 a 6,5 d\u00f3lares por kilogramo (USD\/kg) si se construye hoy, un aumento de 30% a 65%. M\u00faltiples factores han causado este aumento: mayores costos de mano de obra y materiales, mayor costo de construcci\u00f3n del resto de las plantas de electrolizadores, entre 3 y 5 puntos porcentuales m\u00e1s alto costo de capital y un aumento del costo de la energ\u00eda renovable en m\u00e1s de 30%. Sin embargo, se espera que el costo de producir hidr\u00f3geno renovable disminuya a entre 2,5 y 4,0 USD\/kg hacia 2030, impulsado por los avances en la tecnolog\u00eda de electrolizadores, las econom\u00edas de escala de fabricaci\u00f3n, las mejoras en el dise\u00f1o y la reducci\u00f3n del costo de la energ\u00eda renovable.

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  5. Los vientos en contra han provocado un desarrollo de la industria mundial del hidr\u00f3geno m\u00e1s lento de lo que se esperaba anteriormente. Estos obst\u00e1culos se reflejan, por ejemplo, en una ca\u00edda de 10% en el suministro de hidr\u00f3geno limpio anunciado hasta 2025. Probablemente ser\u00e1 necesaria una acci\u00f3n concertada de las industrias y los gobiernos para impulsar el crecimiento mundial del hidr\u00f3geno limpio, facilitando una mayor descarbonizaci\u00f3n.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

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    Ver y descargar el informe completo<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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    Lea el comunicado de prensa<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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    \u00bfQuiere tener la informaci\u00f3n y los datos m\u00e1s actualizados sobre el mercado del hidr\u00f3geno? <\/strong><\/p>\n

    Este informe va acompa\u00f1ado de Perspectivas de hidr\u00f3geno<\/em><\/strong><\/a>, una plataforma paga basada en suscripci\u00f3n que proporcionar\u00e1 una perspectiva global actualizada regularmente sobre el impulso de la inversi\u00f3n en hidr\u00f3geno, el desarrollo del mercado y la competitividad de costos. El servicio de pago est\u00e1 disponible para los no miembros del Hydrogen Council. Para suscribirse y para obtener m\u00e1s informaci\u00f3n, p\u00f3ngase en contacto con la Secretar\u00eda \u2013 secretariat@hydrogencouncil.com<\/a>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    La actualizaci\u00f3n de diciembre de Hydrogen Insights 2023 es la \u00faltima actualizaci\u00f3n sobre la econom\u00eda global del hidr\u00f3geno del Hydrogen Council y McKinsey & Company. Resume el estado actual del sector mundial del hidr\u00f3geno y el despliegue real del hidr\u00f3geno, con una inmersi\u00f3n profunda en la evoluci\u00f3n de los costos del hidr\u00f3geno renovable.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":9916,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[131,132,133,134,116,156,75,118,157,135,136,117,115,137,114],"tags":[146],"class_list":["post-9910","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa-region-intelligence","category-asia-pacific-region-intelligence","category-central-south-america-region-intelligence","category-europe-region-intelligence","category-format-intelligence","category-industry-subject-matter-intelligence","category-intelligence","category-investment-subject-matter-intelligence","category-market-overview-subject-matter-intelligence","category-middle-east-region-intelligence","category-north-america-region-intelligence","category-policy-subject-matter-intelligence","category-region-intelligence","category-report-format-intelligence","category-subject-matter-intelligence","tag-report"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nHydrogen Insights 2023 December Update | Hydrogen Council<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Hydrogen Insights 2023 December Update is the latest update on the global hydrogen economy from the Hydrogen Council and McKinsey & Company. 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