{"id":14520,"date":"2025-03-11T01:18:46","date_gmt":"2025-03-11T00:18:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hydrogencouncil.com\/?p=14520"},"modified":"2025-03-12T13:03:50","modified_gmt":"2025-03-12T12:03:50","slug":"hydrogen-closing-the-cost-gap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hydrogencouncil.com\/es\/hydrogen-closing-the-cost-gap\/","title":{"rendered":"Hidr\u00f3geno: cerrando la brecha de costos"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Resumen ejecutivo<\/h3>\n

 <\/h5>\n
Marco y enfoque<\/strong><\/h5>\n

La demanda de hidr\u00f3geno limpio y sus derivados ha ocupado un lugar central para los tomadores de decisiones en la industria y el gobierno durante los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os, donde el enfoque se ha puesto en la bancabilidad de los proyectos y en catalizar el desarrollo de la cadena de suministro.<\/p>\n

La falta de visibilidad de la demanda, el aumento de los costes energ\u00e9ticos y de los materiales, y la prolongada incertidumbre regulatoria han sido factores clave que han frenado la inversi\u00f3n en el sector, provocando en algunos casos retrasos y cancelaciones de proyectos. Al mismo tiempo, algunas regiones han comenzado a implementar medidas que podr\u00edan respaldar la justificaci\u00f3n comercial de la adopci\u00f3n del hidr\u00f3geno limpio. Si bien el panorama regulatorio a\u00fan est\u00e1 en evoluci\u00f3n, este informe analiza el panorama pol\u00edtico actual y su impacto en la adopci\u00f3n del hidr\u00f3geno limpio.<\/p>\n

La adopci\u00f3n real para 2030 a\u00fan depende del momento y la eficacia de la implementaci\u00f3n de estos mecanismos de pol\u00edtica y, por lo tanto, est\u00e1 sujeta a cambios. Este an\u00e1lisis considera la viabilidad de atender los subsegmentos existentes y nuevos de la demanda de hidr\u00f3geno con hidr\u00f3geno limpio para 2030 en la UE, Asia Oriental y EE. UU. Estas regiones se seleccionaron debido a la relevancia y el impulso inicial de las iniciativas pol\u00edticas de hidr\u00f3geno limpio y el desarrollo de infraestructura, que entraron en vigor el 1 de enero de 2025. <\/p>\n

Con base en la demanda total potencial de hidr\u00f3geno en estas regiones en todas las v\u00edas, clasificamos los millones de toneladas por a\u00f1o (Mt pa) de demanda en tres segmentos, considerando tanto la brecha de costos relativa entre el hidr\u00f3geno limpio o sus derivados y las alternativas convencionales, como as\u00ed tambi\u00e9n el alcance de la infraestructura adicional necesaria para el despliegue de mol\u00e9culas limpias.<\/p>\n

En la p\u00e1gina siguiente se presentan detalles de estos tres segmentos que pueden considerarse en orden ascendente del esfuerzo necesario para servir a los subsegmentos subyacentes con hidr\u00f3geno limpio.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Mensajes clave<\/strong><\/h5>\n

En un escenario de calentamiento de <2\u00baC, una demanda total de hidr\u00f3geno y derivados de ~34 Mt al a\u00f1o podr\u00edan materializarse en la UE, Asia Oriental y los EE. UU. en 2030, de los cuales ~8 Mt al a\u00f1o ya podr\u00edan representar un argumento comercial respaldado por pol\u00edticas para el hidr\u00f3geno limpio.<\/p>\n

Alrededor de 75% se concentran en casos de uso establecidos (por ejemplo, refinaci\u00f3n, amon\u00edaco), mientras que la adopci\u00f3n inicial en nuevos sectores (por ejemplo, mar\u00edtimo y aviaci\u00f3n) constituye los 25% restantes.<\/p>\n

Descarbonizar el volumen total equivaldr\u00eda a una reducci\u00f3n anual de ~250 MtCO2e, lo que equivale a una cuarta parte de las emisiones anuales totales de Jap\u00f3n o a la huella de carbono anual total de Espa\u00f1a. <\/p>\n

Se podr\u00edan desbloquear tres nichos de demanda con diferentes pol\u00edticas y avances en infraestructura que cubran los sectores de uso intensivo de energ\u00eda (refinaci\u00f3n, productos qu\u00edmicos, generaci\u00f3n de energ\u00eda) y el transporte (camiones, aviaci\u00f3n, mar\u00edtimo) en estas regiones.<\/p>\n

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Cerrar la brecha de costos del hidr\u00f3geno limpio: acciones clave<\/h3>\n

<\/p>\n

Las siguientes medidas clave podr\u00edan ser fundamentales para desbloquear esta demanda y cerrar la brecha de costos con las alternativas convencionales:<\/p>\n

(i) la aplicaci\u00f3n efectiva de las medidas pol\u00edticas existentes en la UE, los EE.UU., Jap\u00f3n y Corea del Sur;<\/p>\n

(ii) la expansi\u00f3n de la infraestructura intermedia para permitir un suministro con bajas emisiones de carbono para los casos de uso existentes; <\/p>\n

(iii) el despliegue de nueva infraestructura neta combinada con medidas para abordar la brecha de costos con alternativas de mayores emisiones para nuevos usos finales. <\/p>\n

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Ver y descargar el informe completo<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Lea el comunicado de prensa<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El informe Hydrogen: Closing the Cost Gap, desarrollado con el apoyo anal\u00edtico de McKinsey & Co, destaca que, a pesar de un entorno desafiante para el hidr\u00f3geno limpio, la implementaci\u00f3n efectiva de las pol\u00edticas existentes podr\u00eda respaldar la adopci\u00f3n de ~8 Mt anuales de hidr\u00f3geno limpio en la Uni\u00f3n Europea, Estados Unidos y Asia Oriental para 2030.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":14669,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[131,132,133,125,121,123,122,134,116,124,156,75,118,157,135,136,117,130,115,137,114],"tags":[146],"class_list":["post-14520","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa-region-intelligence","category-asia-pacific-region-intelligence","category-central-south-america-region-intelligence","category-cost","category-decarbonization-subject-matter-intelligence","category-electrolyzes","category-energy-transition-subject-matter-intelligence","category-europe-region-intelligence","category-format-intelligence","category-fuel-cells-subject-matter-intelligence","category-industry-subject-matter-intelligence","category-intelligence","category-investment-subject-matter-intelligence","category-market-overview-subject-matter-intelligence","category-middle-east-region-intelligence","category-north-america-region-intelligence","category-policy-subject-matter-intelligence","category-production-subject-matter-intelligence","category-region-intelligence","category-report-format-intelligence","category-subject-matter-intelligence","tag-report"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nHydrogen: 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